Tuesday, April 23, 2002

Terrorist Warnings?

CNN.com - U.S embassies in Gulf warned of threats - April 23, 2002

Well, I suddenly realized that posting links and then talking about them is probably the easiest way to do this kind of thing. Anyway, I wonder what effects these repeated warnings are actually having... Are they, in themselves, scaring the terrorists into canceling their plans? This seems reasonable, as no warning has yet been followed by a terrorist attack. I'd rather believe that than believe that the agencies responsible for issuing these warnings have been repeatedly hoaxed (which also requires beliving that no one has even attempted another terrorist attack against the US). But then we're running into a "Boy Who Cried Wolf" effect, where eventually these warnings will not be taken seriously. That, of course, would be a good reason for the terrorists to make plenty of threats but not carry them out... but even if the truth is they're scared by the warnings, the result will be the same. Eventually they'll figure that the warnings don't mean anything anymore, and carry out an attack. I'm not sure what the solution could be.

I have not yet received any email from visitors to this blog... I'd love to receive some! Any suggestions?

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